As chief financial and strategy officer for the Americas at Mitsubishi UFG, one of the world’s 10 largest banks, Mark Thumser knows about deals of all sizes. He shared his perspective with us on what the financing landscape looks like for middle-market companies, what kinds of financing deals are getting done, and when it might be wise for a middle-market firm to opt for bank financing over private credit. Are you seeing middle-market companies hold back on new projects due to macroeconomic uncertainty? There have been some instances where projects are paused or where timelines are extending and being delayed. I do think there’s uncertainty with the rates. Maybe six months ago, the rate forecast would have said there’s going to be two or three rate cuts this year. Right now, it looks like there’s zero. That’s going to make financing costs more expensive. It’s going to put a little more pressure on cash flows, and depending on what industry they’re in, if they’re exposed to energy commodity prices, of course, they’re going to adjust the timing on some of those deals. But we look through the near-term uncertainty and choppiness, and look at the multiyear trends. I still think the economy is strong and very resilient. At some point, this situation likely gets resolved in the Middle East, and then there will be some reversion to normal on energy prices…The demand for the energy grid, for LNG [liquid natural gas] facilities, for onshoring and reshoring and diversification of supply chains, [for] AI data center build-out, and frankly, companies deploying AI…I think those trends will continue for several more years. What financial metrics are most important to lenders now.—CV |