A recent pickup in deal activity, favorable macroeconomic factors, and mounting pressure for dealmakers to get off the sidelines all suggest that next year will be a busy one for M&A, experts told CFO Brew. “The amount of activity we see and that we’re working on, we’re very optimistic that that momentum is going to continue on to ’26,” Elizabeth Kaske, EY-Parthenon global and Americas M&A leader, said. Status report. This year started off slower than some expected, due to some dealmaking headwinds (think: tariffs). But market observers noted that activity has picked up in recent months. EY research into US deals valued at $100+ million found that between January and October, total deal value increased 45% YoY to nearly $2.1 trillion, and volume increased 10.4% to 1,409 deals. Megadeals such as Union Pacific’s $85 billion acquisition of Norfolk Southern helped fuel the uptick. According to PwC, the number of large deals ($1 billion to $5 billion in value) and megadeals (over $5 billion) were on pace to finish 17% and 31%, respectively, ahead of 2024, based on deals recorded through early September. The technology sector, and more specifically the rush to adopt AI technologies, also drove dealmaking. The tech sector racked up 446 deals valued at $658 billion through October, “making it the undisputed winner in volume and value,” according to the EY report. Activity came from tech companies buying other tech companies—like Google’s $32 billion acquisition of Wiz—but also non-tech companies making an acquisition. Tech M&A activity came from “the AI gold rush,” SaaS, and cybersecurity deals, according to Kaske. “Our prediction is not only [that] tech and non-tech [companies] want to buy the technology, but also the advancement of technology is going to continue to drive further dealmaking around consolidations and simplification,” she said. “Certain industries that are going to be disrupted by certain tech indicators are then going to have to consolidate to stay relevant.” Keep reading.—AZ |